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Science Bulletin

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Science Bulletin's content profile, based on 21 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Reconstructing synthetic hearts from ECG using flow matching

Zheng, J.; Kalaie, S.; Ma, Q.; Meng, Q.; Rjoob, K.; Gifani, P.; Hu, L.; Babazade, N.; Coriano, M.; Zhong, W.; Vafaeezadeh, M.; Tahasildar, S.; Vadgama, N.; Senevirathne, D. S.; Santhirasekaram, A.; McGurk, K. A.; Curran, L.; He, Y.; Chen, L.; Mo, Y.; Huang, L.; Qiao, M.; Huang, Y.; Bai, W.; O'Regan, D. P.

2026-09-04 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.09.01.26360987 medRxiv
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Cardiac imaging enables quantitative assessment of cardiac structure and function but remains constrained by cost, infrastructure and specialist expertise. In contrast, electrocardiogram (ECG) is widely accessible yet underexploited, despite encoding latent information about cardiac physiology. Here we introduce visionECG, a conditional flow matching framework that learns a probabilistic mapping between two biological distributions - the space of cardiac electrical signals and the space of cardiac geometries. Using 71,132 paired ECG and cardiac mesh sequence datasets from the UK Biobank, with external assessment in 5,000 patients with ECG-echocardiogram pairs, the model reconstructs quantitatively accurate spatiotemporal representations of the left ventricle using ECG inputs and basic demographic information alone. These reconstructions enable discrimination of structural abnormalities and disease labels, provide visualisations of functional abnormalities, and support flexible quantification of both global and regional parameters. By reframing the ECG as a generative source of patient-specific left ventricular geometry and motion, this work establishes a scalable framework for translating low-dimensional signals into high-dimensional, physiologically grounded structured representations.

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ClinSeg: Robust Brain Segmentation for Clinically Acquired Pediatric MRI

Levitis, E.; Tregidgo, H. F. J.; Zimmerman, D.; Jung, B.; Karandikar, S.; Gardner, M.; Mattisson, P.; Kafadar, E.; Zapaishchykova, A.; Kann, B. H.; Sotardi, S. T.; Vossough, A.; Huang, H.; Billot, B.; Iglesias Gonzales, J. E.; Alexander, D. C.; Alexander-Bloch, A. F.; Seidlitz, J.

2026-09-02 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361643 medRxiv
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Clinical brain MRIs from pediatric health systems represent a viable resource for modeling early neurodevelopmental trajectories and studying neurodevelopmental risk in real-world populations. However, a limitation to date has been the performance of existing segmentation tools for measuring various brain phenotypes in clinical scans. In particular, many tools underperform in infant scans due to morphological and physical changes such as rapid myelination. Here, we introduce ClinSeg: a robust segmentation approach tailored to early-life clinical MRIs with variable orientation, resolution, and contrast. We leverage existing registration and synthetic data generation tools to construct a training corpus for a 3d U-Net spanning anatomical and contrast diversity, including scans with morphological abnormalities from a pediatric hospital. Validated against manual segmentations, ClinSeg outperforms existing models in infancy while matching them in childhood and adolescence. Finally, ClinSeg enables the construction of reference brain growth trajectories in 11,699 individuals from 0-21 years of age, leading to the detection of more nuanced age-related findings in clinical groups.

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Impact of stepwise dual antiplatelet therapy de-escalation in patients with multivessel disease undergoing drug-coated balloon angioplasty: insights from the REC-CAGEFREE II trial

Gao, C.; Zhang, Y.; He, X.; Yuan, M.; Mou, F.; Zhou, J.; Chen, H.; Wang, H.; Guo, W.; Wei, Y.; Zhang, Z.; Yin, T.; Zhang, C.; Lian, Z.; Zhu, B.; Liu, J.; Zhang, R.; Fu, G.; Onuma, Y.; Wang, D.; Serruys, P. W.; Yi, F.; Tao, L.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361869 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND The optimal antiplatelet regimen in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and multivessel disease undergoing drug-coated balloon (DCB) angioplasty remains unclear. METHODS This was a prespecified subgroup analysis of the REC-CAGEFREE II trial, which was conducted at 41 sites in China and randomized 1948 exclusively DCB-treated participants with ACS to stepwise dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) de-escalation or standard DAPT. The primary endpoint was net adverse clinical events (NACE; including all-cause death, stroke, myocardial infarction, revascularization, and BARC type 3 or 5 bleeding) at 12 months. Participants were stratified into multivessel and single-vessel subgroups according to angiographic characteristics. RESULTS Overall, 720/1948 (37.0%) patients had multivessel disease. The multivessel subgroup was associated with a significantly higher risk of NACE compared with the single-vessel subgroup (12.5% versus 6.7%, HR IPTW:1.84, 95%CI:1.35-2.51, P<0.001). No significant interaction was observed between vessel status (multivessel or single-vessel) and treatment allocation with respect to NACE (Pinteraction=0.542). In the multivessel subgroup, NACE occurred in 44/368 (12.1%) and 45/352 (12.9%) in the stepwise de-escalation and standard DAPT groups (HR IPTW:0.95, 95%CI:0.62-1.75, P=0.818), respectively. In the single-vessel subgroup, NACE occurred in 43/607 (7.1%) and 39/621 (6.3%) in the stepwise de-escalation and standard groups (HR IPTW:1.12, 95%CI:0.72-1.70, P=0.611), respectively. For the prespecified hierarchical secondary endpoint, win ratio analyses yielded more wins for stepwise de-escalation in both subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Among patients with ACS undergoing DCB-only angioplasty, those with multivessel disease were associated with a higher risk of NACE than those with single-vessel disease. Stepwise DAPT de-escalation and standard DAPT exhibited similar risk-benefit profiles in both subgroups.

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BRIX1 Promotes Hepatocellular Carcinoma Progression via the MAPK/ERK Pathway and Serves as a Prognostic Biomarker

Pan, X.; Wang, x.; Zhou, Y.

2026-08-31 cancer biology 10.64898/2026.08.26.747409 medRxiv
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Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is particularly aggressive and difficult to treat. Due to the lack of early clinical diagnosis and the unsatisfactory clinical treatment effect, it is particularly important to identify novel markers that can predict tumor behavior in HCC. biogenesis of ribosomes BRX1 (BRIX1) is abundant in various tissues of the human body. However, the regulatory mechanisms and its role in various tissues are not fully understood. Here, we analyzed the expression pattern of BRIX1 in HCC from public gene expression databases and tissue samples from clinical HCC. We confirmed that BRIX1 was upregulated in both HCC cell lines and HCC paraffin section samples. BRIX1 depletion significantly dicreased the capacity of cells to grow and migrate in vitro, and knockdown BRIX1 suppressed tumor growth in xenograft tumor model. Mechanistically, BRIX1 depletion suppressed the MAPK/ERK pathway, as reflected by reduced phosphorylated ERK (p-ERK) levels. In summary, we provide a rational clue for the further investigation of BRIX1 as an invaluable biological marker for diagnosing and predicting prognosis of patients with HCC.

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BanffNET, a Deep Learning System for Comprehensive Histological Lesion Quantification in Kidney Transplant Biopsies

Buzzanca, G.; Pala, C.; He, J.; Hofstraat-Boersma, R.; Tammaro, A.; van Midden, D.; Buelow, R.; Hoelscher, D. L.; Muehlfeld, A. S.; Koeller, m.; Kozakowski, N.; Boehmig, G.; Halloran, P. F.; van der Helm, D.; Meziyerh, S.; Venhuizen, J.-H.; Haitjema, S.; Dijkstra, J.; Hilbrands, L. B.; Steenbergen, E. J.; van Zuilen, A. D.; Nurmohamed, A. S.; Bemelman, F. J.; Bruns, I. B.; Callegaro, G.; van de Water, B.; Pieters, T. T.; Breimer, G. E.; Rossi, G. M.; Fiaccadori, E.; Maggiore, U.; Roelofs, J. J. T. H.; Testa, F.; Fontana, F.; Abiola, A. A.; Delsante, M.; Corthals, G. L.; Peters-Sengers, H.; Ngu

2026-09-02 pathology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26360029 medRxiv
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Accurate, reproducible interpretation of kidney allograft biopsies is critical for diagnosis of graft injury to guide prognosis and management. The international Banff classification is a consensus diagnostic system based on semiquantitative histological lesion scoring on either extent or severity of kidney transplant biopsies. However, pathologist scoring is limited by substantial interobserver variability, constrained scalability, and the inherent nature of the scoring system itself. Here we present BanffNET, a weakly supervised, probabilistic deep learning framework that combines self-supervised feature extraction with a novel Bayesian multiple-instance learning framework to predict (continuously) the full spectrum of Banff lesion scores directly from whole-slide images (WSIs). Using lesion-specific aggregation functions tailored to localized (modeling lesion severity) and diffuse pathologies (modeling lesion extent), BanffNET generates interpretable, patch-level probability maps and calibrated slide-level scores. BanffNET's performance was assessed relative to consensus, biological correlates of rejection and clinical outcome, demonstrating superior consistency, transportability and generalization. Trained on 7,249 WSIs from three cohorts, BanffNET demonstrates consistent performance on 11,028 WSIs across five external test sets, performing on par or exceeding expert consensus across lesions. BanffNET scores align more closely than pathologist Banff scores with molecular profiles of rejection, offering a transparent, biologically grounded framework for computational pathology with relevance beyond transplantation.

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Structural mechanism defining product specificity in glycoside hydrolase family 66 cycloisomaltotetraose glucanotransferase

Yasukochi, R.; Kashima, T.; Mori, T.; Kawauchi, Y.; Miyanaga, A.; Watanabe, H.; Fushinobu, S.

2026-09-01 biochemistry 10.64898/2026.08.30.748175 medRxiv
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Cyclic oligosaccharides possess industrial advantages, including molecular encapsulation capability and high physicochemical stability, owing to the absence of a reducing end. Recently, a novel cyclic tetrasaccharide, cycloisomaltotetraose (CI4), consisting of four -1,6-linked glucose units, and the enzymes responsible for its synthesis, cycloisomaltotetraose glucanotransferases (CI4Tases), were discovered. Unlike known cycloisomaltooligosaccharide glucanotransferases (CITases) that yield a wide distribution of cyclic products with a degree of polymerization (DP) of 7 or higher, CI4Tases strictly produce CI4. To elucidate the molecular mechanism underlying this strict DP4 specificity, we determined the crystal structures of CI4Tase from Agreia sp. D1110, in its ligand-free form, as well as in complex with the linear hydrolysis product isomaltotetraose (IG4) and with CI4. Structural comparisons revealed that a loop (M247 to R251) blocks the region corresponding to the -5 subsite of typical CITases, narrowing the substrate-binding pocket. This "molecular ruler" mechanism ensures that only a glycan chain of exactly four glucose units is accommodated for cyclization. Among mutants of the residue positioned at the center of bound CI4, the formation of by-products other than CI4 was significantly suppressed in F245L, F245A, and F245W. While the cyclization activity of all F245 mutants decreased, the CI4 hydrolysis activity of these three mutants was also significantly reduced, resulting in an increased specificity for cyclic sugar production. These findings elucidate the strict size-control mechanism of CI4Tase and provide a structural foundation for engineering cycloisomaltooligosaccharide-producing enzymes with optimized transglycosylation efficiency and specificity for industrial applications.

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Accurate and efficient prediction of protein conformations with ProtMonomer

Si, Y.; Zhang, S.; Chen, L.

2026-08-31 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.28.747824 medRxiv
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Deep learning-based protein structure prediction methods that leverage evolutionary information from multiple sequence alignments (MSAs), exemplified by AlphaFold2, have achieved remarkable accuracy. However, existing methods still struggle to predict challenging proteins, particularly those with novel folds or limited evolutionary information, and to recover alternative conformational states. Here we show that structure prediction models trained under different MSA-depth distributions corresponding to different levels of evolutionary information exhibit complementary generalization behaviors, and that a model trained on a mixture of these distributions can combine their complementary generalization strengths. Building on this insight, we developed ProtMonomer, a deep learning framework trained on MSA-depth distributions representing a broad range of evolutionary information levels to improve structure prediction. Across benchmarks comprising CASP15 targets, non-redundant experimentally determined structures, orphan proteins, and short peptides, ProtMonomer performed comparably to or better than leading methods, including AlphaFold2 and AlphaFold3, with particularly strong performance on challenging targets. For fold-switching proteins, ProtMonomer also recovered alternative conformational states more accurately than AlphaFold2 and AlphaFold3 across diverse homologous sequence sampling strategies. In addition to improving predictive accuracy, ProtMonomer substantially reduced inference cost through an efficient architecture, enabling high-throughput applications. Together, these findings provide insights into the generalization of evolution-informed structure prediction models and support ProtMonomer as an accurate and efficient framework for protein structure prediction.

8
Inhibition of JEV infection using β-Catenin specific inhibitor, iCRT-14

Datey, A.; Ghosh, S.; Chatterjee, S.; Bhowmick, B.; Ghatak, A.; Subudhi, B. B.; Chattopadhyay, S.

2026-08-31 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.29.747967 medRxiv
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The lack of effective anti-JEV therapy possesses significant challenge to control JEV. {beta}-catenin, a key mediator of Wnt signaling pathway regulates different viral replication and host immune responses. However, its role in JEV infection remains to be elucidated. Thus, the current study focused on evaluating iCRT-14, a specific {beta}-catenin inhibitor, against JEV. Treatment with iCRT-14 following JEV infection resulted efficient reduction in viral progeny release, viral RNA and protein levels in Huh7 and HEK293T cells. Further, active and total {beta}-catenin, Cyclin D-1 and GSK3-{beta}, the other key pathway players were also modulated in infected and inhibitor treated cells. Moreover, iCRT-14 showed an IC of 4.56 in Huh7 cell and maximal inhibition at the early stages of the JEV life cycle. Interestingly, the overexpression of {beta}-catenin in both the cells and siRNA-mediated {beta}-catenin knockdown (in Huh7 cells) significantly abrogated JEV replication, as evidenced by decreased viral titers, viral protein expression, and viral as well as total RNA levels. Moreover, the reduction in extracellular (84%) and intracellular (60%) viral titers following iCRT-14 treatment highlights its role in impairing JEV infection. Further, in silico molecular docking and co-immunoprecipitation studies demonstrated interactions between {beta}-catenin and the JEV NS5 and E proteins. Collectively, these findings suggest that optimum level of {beta}-catenin is required for efficient JEV infection, highlighting its potential as a target for designing host-directed control strategies to regulate viral infection.

9
Cost-Outcome Variation in Percutaneous Mechanical Circulatory Support: A National Value-of-Care Analysis

Greendyk, J. D.; Allen, W. E.; Hossain, A.; Trichas, Z.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361851 medRxiv
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Background: Percutaneous mechanical circulatory support (pMCS) is increasingly used in critically ill patients, yet its value in relation to cost and outcomes remains unclear. We evaluated national variation in utilization, outcomes, and cost, and introduced a value of care framework integrating risk-adjusted outcomes and expenditures. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study using the National Inpatient Sample to identify non-elective hospitalizations of critically ill patients undergoing intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) or percutaneous left ventricular assist device (pLVAD) placement using ICD-10 codes. Multivariable logistic regression and generalized linear models were used to estimate expected outcomes and costs. Observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios were calculated, and a value index was derived to compare procedural strategies. Results: A total of 57,910 weighted hospitalizations were included (IABP 78%, pLVAD 22%). In-hospital mortality exceeded 30% across regions. Significant regional variation was observed, with the West demonstrating the highest costs and the Midwest the lowest (p<0.001). Mean hospital charges were higher for pLVAD compared with IABP ($403,731 vs $320,769). Both strategies achieved outcomes better than expected after risk adjustment (O/E 0.92); however, costs were higher than expected for both, with greater relative cost inflation observed for IABP (O/E 1.41) and higher absolute costs for pLVAD. In value-of-care analysis, IABP was associated with lower cost and comparable outcomes, while pLVAD demonstrated higher cost without proportional outcome improvement. Conclusion: Substantial variation exists in the cost, outcomes, and value of pMCS strategies. While both IABP and pLVAD achieve favorable risk-adjusted outcomes, pLVAD is associated with higher costs without commensurate clinical benefit.

10
Changing Epidemiology of Acute Myocardial Infarction in the High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin Era

Taylor, B.; Oltman, C.; Shtembari, J.; Adoni, N.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361490 medRxiv
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Contemporary national-scale electronic health record (EHR) trends in documented acute myocardial infarction (AMI) rates during the high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) and Type 2 myocardial infarction (T2MI) era are not well characterized. We conducted a serial cross-sectional analysis of U.S. adults aged 18 years in Epic Cosmos from 2016-2024, encompassing 821,859,867 patient-years. Age- and sex-standardized AMI diagnosis rates increased 75.7%, from 343.1 to 602.7 per 100,000 patients. This increase was predominantly driven by T2MI, which increased 133.8% from 99.9 per 100,000 in 2018 to 233.4 per 100,000 in 2024; NSTEMI increased 13.8% while STEMI decreased 4.1%. Annual hs-cTn-tested encounters increased 34.5-fold from 2017 through 2024. The proportion of tested encounters associated with any AMI remained relatively stable after 2021, whereas T2MI continued to increase and surpassed NSTEMI in 2024 as the most frequently diagnosed AMI subtype per hs-cTn-tested encounters. Males had higher absolute AMI rates across all age groups, although relative increases were greater among females. Documented AMI epidemiology shifted substantially toward T2MI during expanding hs-cTn utilization, underscoring the need for evidence-based approaches to the evaluation and management of T2MI.

11
Design and characterization of broadly protective influenza A(H3N2) vaccine candidates using protein language models

Howard, V. R.; Allen, J. D.; Thomas, M. H.; Sautto, G. A.; Ross, T. M.; Georgiev, I. S.

2026-08-31 immunology 10.64898/2026.08.26.747087 medRxiv
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Seasonal influenza A viruses cause significant global morbidity each year. Although vaccination remains the primary preventive strategy, effectiveness is often reduced by antigenic drift. This challenge is particularly pronounced for influenza A(H3N2), which has required eight vaccine updates over the past decade. Here, we present a computational framework to engineer broadly reactive influenza A(H3N2) vaccines, using protein language models to generate novel hemagglutinin (HA) sequences and a machine learning model to predict antigenic distance from circulating strains. In a proof-of-concept study, seven HA candidates designed using sequence data from 2013-2018 were evaluated in mice against contemporary and subsequently circulating viruses. Two candidates elicited protective levels of reactive antibodies, robust H3-specific antibody-secreting cell responses, and cross-neutralization against contemporary clades and drifted 2019-2020 strains. These findings demonstrate that an integrated generation-selection strategy can enhance vaccine coverage across current and future A(H3N2) seasons and may be applicable to other influenza subtypes.

12
A Metabolic Labeling Strategy for Tracking Protein Synthesis in Complex Biological Systems

Bu, Y. J.; Nyandwi, S. P.; De Lima Alves, F.; Tennakoon, R.; Stamm, T. V.; Schneider, D. J.; Eddenden, A.; Ma, T. W. Y.; Chun, Y.-j.; Peng, H.; Miller, J. M.; Wheeler, A. R.; Yuzwa, S.; Nitz, M.; Cui, H.

2026-09-01 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.30.747940 medRxiv
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Protein synthesis supports most biological processes. In the brain in particular, protein synthesis plays a critical role in physiological and pathological states. Here, we describe Tellurophene-Alkyne Cycloaddition-mediated Amino acid Tagging (TeACAT), a versatile strategy for fast, facile, and flexible tagging of newly synthesized proteins in mice. TeACAT is based on metabolic incorporation of the non-canonical amino acid TePhe into proteins by the endogenous protein synthesis machinery. Due to their high similarity, TePhe can efficiently replace canonical Phe without dietary or genetic manipulation. The subsequent bio-orthogonal reaction of TePhe with either fluorescent dyes or affinity handles enables both visualization and affinity enrichment of proteins synthesized during TePhe exposure. TeACAT is compatible with immunofluorescence for cell-type specific visualization of protein synthesis with subcellular resolution and can be used in conjunction with routine proteomics to identify and quantify newly synthesized proteins. Robust incorporation into the mouse proteome was observed on the scale of hours to days, allowing the interrogation of various biological processes. In summary, TeACAT enables the visualization and quantification of protein synthesis with minimal perturbation for biological discoveries.

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OMICON: a community resource for studying gene coexpression networks in normal and neoplastic human brain samples

Eliscu, R.; Kang, G.; Schupp, P. G.; Brody, D. J.; Hariharan, N.; Shamsian, S.; Oldham, M. C.

2026-09-01 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.25.747141 medRxiv
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Genome-wide coexpression analysis of intact tissue samples is a powerful approach for identifying reproducible signatures of cell types and states, since it can survey vast numbers of individuals, cells, and transcripts. However, it can be difficult to optimize gene coexpression network construction and compare results from independent analyses. To address these challenges, we developed OMICON (theomicon.ucsf.edu) for research on human brain gene coexpression networks. OMICON contains gene expression data from >17K normal and neoplastic human brain samples with standardized metadata. Systematic analysis of independent datasets identified >250K gene coexpression modules, which were characterized and compared via enrichment analysis with >40K gene sets. All modules are discoverable via an advanced search engine that can filter by genes, metadata, and enrichment results. Analyses can also be browsed with an interactive workflow visualization tool, and users can communicate within OMICON using @mention functionality to support communal research on human brain gene coexpression networks.

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Prospective In-silico Simulation of the VESALIUS-CV Trial Using Biomedical Knowledge Graph and Real-World Data-Driven AI Modeling

Perlman, A.; Goldstein, N.; Goldman, M.; Shapiro, M.; Barash, E.; Bar, A.; Raveh, T.; Tordjman, E.; Schussheim, H.; Dormont, F.; Matalon, O.

2026-08-31 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.26.26361436 medRxiv
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Background. Cardiovascular-outcomes trials are lengthy, costly, and associated with substantial uncertainty prior to readout. In-silico trial simulation using real-world data (RWD) has emerged as a potential tool to support earlier decision-making; however, evidence of prospective predictive validity, generated prior to trial result disclosure, remains limited. Methods. We applied a semi-mechanistic machine learning framework integrating real-world patient data with biologically informed drug representations to prospectively simulate the VESALIUS-CV trial evaluating evolocumab versus placebo. The simulation model was trained on a combination of patient-level real-world data and a drug-centric knowledge graph and validated for both patient-level and trial-level retrospective predictive performance. The model was then used to simulate VESALIUS-CV before public disclosure of trial results, using a locked model and prespecified eligibility criteria and primary endpoint aligned with the clinical protocol. A patient-level time-to-event model was used to generate virtual trial arms, from which cumulative incidence curves, hazard ratios, confidence intervals, and p-values for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) were estimated. Results. In retrospective validation, the model demonstrated strong patient-level discrimination, with time-dependent ROC-AUC values ranging from 0.80 to 0.90 across follow-up horizons. For trial-level validation, 22 randomized cardiovascular-outcomes trials were simulated, and hazard ratios for 3-point MACE across 24 between-arm comparisons showed consistent directional agreement and quantitative correlation with published results such that the model accurately predicted trial success, achieving an F1 score of 0.83, with precision of 0.79 and sensitivity of 0.89. In a fully prospective application, the simulation predicted a statistically significant reduction in 3-point MACE with evolocumab versus placebo, estimating a hazard ratio of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.70-0.87) at 54 months. These predictions were consistent with the subsequently reported VESALIUS-CV results, which demonstrated a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.65-0.86) at 55 months of median follow-up. Conclusions. In a fully prospective setting, a RWD-driven, AI-based simulation accurately predicted the direction, magnitude, and temporal dynamics of treatment effects observed in the VESALIUS-CV trial. These results demonstrate that in-silico trial simulation can anticipate clinical outcomes in the prospective setting, supporting its use as a complementary tool for early decision-making, trial design optimization, and de-risking in cardiovascular drug development.

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Clinically Generalisable End-to-End Graph Learning for CT Image-Based Multitask Stroke Diagnosis

Lu, Z.; Uddin, S.; Uribe, S.; White, S.; Martins, R. T.; Chau, S.; Mosaddek, A. S. M.; Islam, M. S.; Nahar, N.; Azad, A. K. M.; Hossain, K. M. N.; Choudhury, H. S.; Hasan, K. M. R.; Mosaddek, N.; Rahman, S.; Hossain, M. M.; Sizar, K. M. M. H.; Angione, C.; Lio, P.; Islam, M. T.; Moni, M. A.

2026-08-31 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.08.26.26360026 medRxiv
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Stroke remains a leading cause of mortality and long-term disability worldwide, yet rapid diagnosis is often limited by the shortage of trained radiologists, particularly in resource-constrained settings. Automated analysis of CT imaging offers a potential solution, but existing methods often struggle to achieve clinically generalisable performance while jointly addressing multiple diagnostic tasks. Here we present the Intelligent Integrated Stroke Diagnosis System IISDS, an end-to-end deep learning framework built upon StrokeGNN, a graph-based architecture that integrates 3D contextual feature extraction with U-Net-based 2D lesion segmentation to enable comprehensive stroke analysis from non-contrast CT scans. IISDS performs stroke subtype classification, lesion segmentation and lesion volume estimation within a unified pipeline. To develop and validate the system, we collected and curated BGD-ISD through a collaboration between AI researchers, neurologists, radiologists and clinicians, resulting in a large multi-centre dataset comprising 1,507 CT scans from 597 stroke cases acquired across six hospitals and medical centres in Bangladesh. Across BGD-ISD and multiple publicly available datasets, IISDS achieves state-of-the-art performance on all tasks, improving segmentation accuracy by [&ge;]0.011 Dice score, reducing lesion volume estimation error by [&ge;]0.3 average symmetric surface distance (ASSD), and increasing classification performance by [&ge;]0.018 area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) compared with existing approaches. These results demonstrate the potential of graph-based deep learning to enable clinically generalisable, automated and scalable stroke diagnosis from CT imaging, supporting rapid clinical decision-making, particularly in healthcare environments with limited access to expert radiological interpretation.

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Left ventricular hypertrophy, brain atrophy and cognitive decline in type 2 diabetes mellitus: Diabetes & Dementia (D2) cohort study

Brodtmann, A.; Patel, S.; Restrepo, C.; Khlif, M. S.; Werden, E.; Ellis, R.; Alsawaf, S.; Ekinci, E. I.; Srivastava, P. M.; Ramchand, J.; MacIsaac, R. J.; Churilov, L.; Burrell, L. M.

2026-09-02 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.08.31.26361868 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND People with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are at higher risk of cerebral small vessel disease and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), potentially contributing to cognitive decline and dementia. We aimed to describe brain volume and cognitive trajectories over 2 years in a cohort of people with T2DM and to determine whether LVH causes increased brain atrophy and cognitive decline. METHODS Diabetes and Dementia (D2) study is a multicentre observational cohort study in Melbourne, Australia. Participants aged >50 years were recruited via 2 hospital outpatient clinics, 3 private clinics, and study advertisements. Participants with pre-existing cognitive impairment, life-limiting medical illness, and severe chronic renal impairment were excluded. Participants attended study visits for brain MRI, transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), and cognitive testing at baseline and 2 years. The exposure was LVH determined on baseline TTE. Pre-specified outcomes were total brain volume (TBV) change and cognitive decline (z-score change?-1 in any cognitive domain) over 2 years. Regression analyses examined associations between baseline variables and outcomes. A causal inference approach was utilized using inverse probability of treatment weighting to standardize for confounding covariates, excluding participants for non-positivity on age and baseline TBV. RESULTS Participants were recruited 20May2016 to 20March2020: 2378 screened, 702 eligible, 196 consented, 150 baseline and 123 2-year assessments with complete MRI, TTE, and cognitive data (17.4% attrition). At baseline, LVH was associated with female sex, older age, lower educational attainment, lower mood, hypertension, obesity, beta-blocker use, and smaller TBV. Participants with baseline cognitive impairment exhibited greater brain atrophy. Lower educational attainment, hypertension, and lower baseline cognitive scores were associated with cognitive decline. Causal inference analysis included 62 participants with no LVH (20(32%) women; mean [SD]=66.9[5.9] years), and 31 with LVH (17(55%) women, 67.4[5.4] years). LVH caused lower TBV change: standardized mean difference (95% CI) 6.3 (0.1, 12.5) cm3, P=.048. LVH had no effect on cognitive decline. CONCLUSIONS Brain atrophy and cognitive decline were associated with baseline cognitive impairment. LVH caused less brain atrophy and cognitive decline in people with T2DM. We conclude that guideline-directed LVH therapies such as beta-blockers have both cardioprotective (remodelling) and neuroprotective effects. TRIAL REGISTRATION ACTRN12616000546459 UTN: U1111-1181-6659

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Non-inferior survival and enhanced longevity with initial low-dose versus full-dose enzalutamide: a single-centre real-world prostate cancer study

Gorobets, O.; Vinh-Hung, V.

2026-09-02 oncology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361616 medRxiv
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Background: Prostate cancer enzalutamide treatment is approved at a standard dose of 160 mg daily. Concerns for real-world patients -- older and more fragile than those enrolled in clinical trials -- have prompted consideration of initiating treatment with lower doses, but the long-term efficacy of this approach remains unknown. We evaluate the long-term survival and longevity in patients treated with standard versus upfront low-dose enzalutamide. Methods: Retrospective analysis of 151 patients treated with enzalutamide (102 receiving 160 mg; 49 receiving [&le;]80 mg) between 2014--2021 at the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Martinique, with complete follow-up through end of life (98.7% completeness of follow-up). Primary outcomes were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and longevity (attained age). Results: Doses [&le;]80 mg were associated with longer median OS (36.3 vs. 20.7 months), improved restricted mean OS (difference of 0.7 years, p=0.05), and enhanced longevity (median 82.5 vs. 78.3 years, p=0.004). PSA response rate at 12 weeks was higher with lower-dose (71.4% vs. 48.8%, p=0.016). In multivariable models adjusted for prognostic factors, [&le;]40 mg compared with 160 mg was non-inferior regarding OS (HR=0.61, 95% CI 0.36--1.06), superior regarding PFS (HR=0.59, 95% CI 0.35--0.99), and superior regarding longevity (HR=0.48, 95% CI 0.28--0.84). Bone metastasis, poor performance status, PSA response, time to PSA nadir, and disease duration were independent predictors of outcomes. A post-hoc analysis revealed a strong association between dose and physician-prescribing profiles, ranging from "endorse-lowest-dose" to "never-deviate-from-full-dose". Conclusions: Lower doses of enzalutamide were non-inferior to full-dose. Dose-adapted strategies warrant further investigation.

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Glaucoma and Diabetes Mellitus: A Comparative Evaluation of Comorbid Effect on Tear Quantity among Patients in Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.

Chukwuoha, C. M.; Ovenseri-Ogbomo, G.; Azuamah, Y. C.; Odimegwu, N. E.; Obioma-Elemba, J. E.; Ugwoke, G.; Nkeremuzor, E. C.; Eronini, Y.; Ikoro, N. C.; Esenwah, E. C.

2026-09-02 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.08.30.26361782 medRxiv
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Abstract Objective: Glaucoma is a chronic disorder that impairs ocular health and may exacerbate ocular surface disease leading to tear film instability, dry eye symptoms and decreased quality of life. This study compared changes in tear quantity among glaucoma subjects living with and without diabetes mellitus, attending an eye clinic in Nigeria. Methods: A comparative cross sectional research design was used. 157 subjects which comprised 74 glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus and 83 glaucoma subjects living without diabetes mellitus participated in the study. Tear quantity assessment included the Schirmer I test and tear meniscus height (TMH) measurement. Descriptive statistics, independent samples t-test and Chi-square test were used to examine the data at 0.05 level of significance. Results: Glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus showed substantially decreased tear production (11.4 +/- 6.8 mm) compared with glaucoma subjects living without diabetes mellitus (19.6 +/- 9.6 mm; p < 0.001). Tear meniscus height in glaucoma subjects living with diabetes mellitus (0.8 +/- 0.3 mm) was significantly greater than in subjects living without diabetes mellitus (0.7 +/- 0.3 mm; p = 0.034). Conclusion: Diabetes mellitus dramatically deteriorates the ocular surface function in glaucoma subjects by decreasing tear production, altering the tear meniscus height and increasing the severity of ocular surface symptoms. Routine glaucoma care, especially in patients with diabetes mellitus, should include a full ocular surface evaluation including Schirmer I test, TBUT, TMH, and OSDI assessment to allow early detection and management of ocular surface disease, better treatment adherence, and improved visual outcomes. Keywords: Glaucoma, Diabetes Mellitus, Tear production, Tear Meniscus Height, Ocular Surface Disease.

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An interpretable, formally verified point-of-care ultrasound risk equation for difficult videolaryngoscopy: development and internal validation

Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.

2026-09-02 anesthesia 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361621 medRxiv
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.

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Maternal cell-free RNA versus combined screening for first-trimester prediction of early-onset preeclampsia: a nested case-control study

Satorres-Perez, E.; Castillo-Marco, N.; Igual, M.; Cordero, T.; Munoz-Blat, I.; Monfort-Ortiz, R.; Marcos-Puig, B.; Simon, C.; Garrido-Gomez, T.; Perales-Marin, A.

2026-09-02 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.08.28.26361628 medRxiv
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Background. In Europe, first-trimester combined screening with the Fetal Medicine Foundation (FMF) algorithm identifies women at increased risk of preeclampsia who may benefit from personalized aspirin prophylaxis. However, a substantial proportion of early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE) remains undetected at clinically acceptable specificity. Objective. To evaluate the first-trimester performance of MaiRa for early-onset preeclampsia (EOPE) risk stratification by benchmarking it against FMF screening in the same women, characterizing discordant patient-level classification profiles and exploring potential implementation strategies. Study Design. This secondary case-control analysis was nested within the prospective, multicentre PREMOM cohort [NCT04990141], which enrolled women with singleton pregnancies across 14 tertiary hospitals in Spain. First-trimester MaiRa and FMF risk estimates were evaluated in the same 126 pregnant women, comprising 99 uncomplicated controls and 27 EOPE cases, defined by disease onset before 34 weeks. Discrimination was compared using a stratified paired bootstrap analysis of the areas under the receiver-operating-characteristic curves. Performance was assessed at prespecified clinical thresholds, and detection rates were evaluated at fixed false-positive rates. Universal and contingent MaiRa implementation strategies were also evaluated. Results. MaiRa showed greater first-trimester discrimination for EOPE than FMF combined screening (AUC, 0.974 vs 0.900; P=.040) and consistently achieved higher detection rates across fixed false-positive rates. At false-positive rates of 5% and 10%, MaiRa detected 85.2% and 92.6% of EOPE cases, compared with 44.4% and 70.4% for FMF, respectively. Patient-level analysis demonstrated that MaiRa identified 12 of 27 EOPE cases (44.4%) classified as low risk by FMF; these pregnancies generally exhibited less abnormal conventional first-trimester profiles, including fewer maternal risk factors, lower mean arterial pressure and lower uterine artery pulsatility index, yet 8 of 12 (66.7%) subsequently developed severe EOPE. Exploratory implementation analyses showed that universal MaiRa screening achieved the highest EOPE detection, whereas a contingent strategy using FMF for triage and reflex MaiRa testing reduced molecular testing to 35.7% of pregnancies while maintaining 77.8% sensitivity and 97.0% specificity. Conclusion. MaiRa provided greater first-trimester discrimination for EOPE than conventional combined screening and detected additional pregnancies that later developed severe disease despite less abnormal conventional screening profiles. The findings suggest that maternal plasma cfRNA profiling captures biological alterations not fully reflected by combined first-trimester screening and support further prospective evaluation in an independent, unselected obstetric population. Key words: early-onset preeclampsia; first-trimester screening; cell-free RNA; liquid biopsy; Fetal Medicine Foundation algorithm; combined screening; risk stratification; aspirin prophylaxis.